久久亚洲国产成人影院-久久亚洲国产的中文-久久亚洲国产高清-久久亚洲国产精品-亚洲图片偷拍自拍-亚洲图色视频

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business
Home / Business / Finance

Real economy shielded from systemic risks

By CHEN JIA | China Daily | Updated: 2018-07-20 08:05
Share
Share - WeChat
Aerial photo taken on May 4, 2018 shows an automatic container dock in Qingdao, East China's Shandong province. [Photo/Xinhua]

Financial systemic risks were stimulated in the first half of this year due to Sino-US trade friction, as well as the overlapping effect of domestic financial deleveraging in a tightened regulatory environment, but the real economic sectors have been isolated from the risk, said research published on Thursday.

The index, monitoring 202 listed companies in the financial and property sectors, is calculated by researchers to indicate financial systemic risk under some extreme scenarios.

It jumped sharply this year, especially since March when Sino-US trade tensions emerged and Chinese financial regulators issued new regulations to curb shadow banking financing activities, said Zhou Hao, a professor at Tsinghua University's PBC School of Finance.

Similar surges in the index could be seen during the 2008 global financial crisis and the financial market turbulence in mid-2015, when the index jumped even higher than the warning level.

"This time, the index is still under the warning line, meaning the risk is controllable without hurting the real economy so far," Zhou told China Daily.

"But we still need to pay attention to the potential influences and prevent financing difficulties for small business in the second half, as tight financial regulation is expected to continue."

He suggested to maintain a prudent and neutral monetary policy stance in the second half along with financial deleveraging, but moderate policy fine-tuning is required to ease liquidity stress among financial institutions.

The trade tensions, meanwhile, could be seen as the direct factor that resulted in pessimistic expectations on future policy and economic uncertainties among investors. The negative effects were first shown in the earlier stock market fluctuations.

Chinese banks have higher risks than insurance and securities companies, and more attention should be paid to joint-stock commercial banks, compared with the five largest State-owned banks and city and rural banks, according to Zhou.

"If the trade tensions continue to escalate in the second half, joint-stock commercial banks will be more fragile, as their nonperforming loans will increase," said Zhou.

He explained that these banks have granted more loans to small and medium-sized enterprises, and have more exposure to interbank market business, or so-called shadow banking.

Tariffs on additional $16 billion of imports were reportedly expected from both China and the United States, when trade tensions rose with the US planning a 10 percent tariff on $200 billion of Chinese imports. The US levied tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese imports starting on June 6 and China announced equal and comparable retaliatory measures following that.

"A numerical estimate of financial implications on a cross-sector basis is uncertain due to the untested nature of trade friction between the world's two largest economies," Alex Griffiths, Fitch Rating's group credit officer in the global corporates department, wrote in recent research.

But the tit-for-tat retaliatory trade actions could raise credit risks for companies in the two countries, especially for those already under pressure, although the vulnerability after the initial tariffs rounds is limited, according to the ratings agency.

"A prolonged trade dispute resulting in weaker GDP growth, higher inflation, increased currency volatility or rapid changes in commodity prices could have wider rating implications," said Griffiths.

Escalating trade protectionism and cascading supply-chain effects could have a disproportionate effect on US corporations, especially large multinational companies such as Boeing, Intel, Deere&Co, Texas Instruments and GE. But most Fitch-rated Chinese corporations would suffer a limited direct impact from US tariffs as they are domestically focused, according to Fitch's research.

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
CLOSE
 
主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲国产高清视频 | 在线中文字幕精品第5页 | 最新步兵社区在线观看 | 亚洲精品亚洲人成毛片不卡 | 影院成人区精品一区二区婷婷丽春院影视 | 成人影院久久久久久影院 | 曰韩美女一级视频 | 日韩免费一级毛片欧美一级日韩片 | 高清在线精品一区二区 | 免费看a毛片 | 国产精品免费一级在线观看 | 亚洲最黄视频 | 国产在线观看高清不卡 | 男人干女人的视频 | 久久99爰这里有精品国产 | 萌白酱白丝护士服喷水铁牛tv | 岛国精品成人 | 免费看片aⅴ免费大片 | 九九亚洲视频 | 毛片免费永久不卡视频观看 | 成人看片在线观看免费 | 日韩欧美在线综合网高清 | 韩国女主播青草在线观看 | 免费日韩一级片 | 欧美一级毛片久久精品 | 国产精品合集久久久久青苹果 | 亚洲精品一二区 | 久久久久成人精品一区二区 | 精品看片| 91成人小视频 | 色视频在线观看视频 | 亚洲haose在线观看 | 免费观看女人一摸全是水 | 久久久久久久国产高清 | 亚洲网站视频在线观看 | 国内精品久久精品 | 成人1000部免费观看视频 | 黄色亚洲网站 | 猛操美女 | 欧产日产国产精品精品 | 国产亚洲精品一区999 |