www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

Global EditionASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Business

Policy focus to be on stable growth, lower risks in 2020

GDP target for next year likely to be around 6% in nation, say economists

By CHEN JIA and JIANG XUEQING | CHINA DAILY | Updated: 2019-12-05 00:00
Share
Share - WeChat

Macroeconomic policies in China are expected to strike a balance between growth stability and risk prevention next year, with the overall GDP growth during the period expected to be around 6 percent, economists said on Wednesday.

The comments came ahead of the much-anticipated Central Economic Working Conference, a high-level meeting that will set the policy tone for next year, later this month and discussions on whether the GDP target should remain above 6 percent or be allowed to slip further.

Unlike a decade ago, more efforts are certainly needed to sustain a growth rate of 6 percent and above, including an expansionary fiscal policy and a higher tolerance of debt growth as investment efficiency has weakened, said the economists.

The 2020 GDP growth rate target may be set at "around 6 percent", compared with the wording of "from 6 percent to 6.5 percent" in 2019, said Lu Ting, chief economist in China for Nomura Securities.

To support such a goal, the fiscal deficit ratio-the budgeted deficit to the total GDP ratio, should be raised to 3 percent next year from the existing 2.8 percent, while the monetary policy will have even less room for further easing, said Lu.

More tax and fee reductions are likely next year as these measures are an important ingredient of the fiscal policy. But the targeted amount will be set lower than that for 2019, given the fiscal spending difficulties faced by some local governments, experts close to the finance ministry told China Daily. The total tax and fee cuts will exceed 2.3 trillion yuan ($326 billion) this year, Finance Minister Liu Kun said earlier.

Lu from Nomura said it is not necessary for the government to maintain a GDP rate higher than 6 percent, and the viewpoint is different from that of Yu Yongding, a senior economist with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. Yu said in a recent article that the government's top priority should be to arrest the decline in GDP growth, as falling growth will worsen the financial stability indicators.

Uncertainties over China-US trade talks and external headwinds will push the policymakers to focus more on maintaining stable growth, unlike the last two years when risk prevention was the priority, said Mao Zhenhua, founder and president of China Chengxin International Credit Rating Co Ltd.

But maintaining a higher growth rate would have lateral side-effects like a fast expansion of credit, the economists said. They said that household debt has accelerated during the first three quarters of this year.

"China has demonstrated a strong willingness toward de-risking," said Nicholas Zhu, vice-president and senior credit officer at Moody's Investors Service. Zhu said global credit ratings agencies are keeping a close watch to see if financial leverage increases due to the stimulus measures for curbing downside pressures on the economy.

Yi Gang, the central bank governor, said in a recent article that China will maintain a prudent monetary policy, although the world's economic downturn will likely stay for a long time.

In the article, Yi said that economic development should not be judged only on the basis of GDP growth. He said the nation needs to be wary of a contraction in credit in some areas as downward pressure increases.

The country is still in the process of shifting to a consumption-led economy. Consumption contributed over 60 percent of China's GDP growth in the first three quarters of this year. Besides, the services industry is expected to contribute more to growth, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

As a result, the services industry will absorb massive labor force, said Zhu from Moody's. "Despite China's economic growth slowdown, very few people have actually lost their jobs. The country is not under high stress of unemployment because a large number of job opportunities are transferring from the manufacturing sector to the services industry amid economic transition in China."

 

 

 

Today's Top News

Editor's picks

Most Viewed

Top
BACK TO THE TOP
English
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 99热在线观看 | 国产精品久久不卡日韩美女 | 亚洲成人天堂 | 男人天堂av网 | 一区国严二区亚洲三区 | 免费观看欧美成人h | 成人综合国产乱在线 | 一区二区三区不卡在线 | 欧美黑粗特黄午夜大片 | 美国成人免费视频 | 日本高清视频www夜色资源 | 亚洲午夜在线观看 | 一级毛片看一个 | 国产三级在线观看免费 | 一级特黄性色生活片一区二区 | 日本一区二区高清免费不卡 | 亚洲综合网在线观看首页 | 日本黄色大片在线播放视频免费观看 | 亚洲bbbbbxxxxx精品三十七 | 亚洲毛片| 精品91自产拍在线 | 毛片一级在线观看 | 国产精品久久久久久免费 | 国产高清自拍视频 | 欧美日韩高清不卡一区二区三区 | 欧美三级美国一级 | 国产在视频线精品视频www666 | 另类专区欧美 | 欧美怡红院高清在线 | 久草免费在线 | 韩国美女毛片 | 在线看片a | 欧美成 人h版在线观看 | 毛片网站大全 | 亚洲精品福利一区二区三区 | 日韩欧美在线观看视频 | 亚洲国产成a人v在线观看 | 成人国产一区二区三区精品 | 色婷婷91 | 欧美一级片毛片 | 成人亚洲网站 |