www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

chinadaily.com.cn
left corner left corner
China Daily Website

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Updated: 2012-10-19 09:51
( China Daily)

Editor's note: Economic experts suggest that although some caution remains, the overriding message is one of optimism, and the current stability will continue into the strong fourth quarter and economic momentum into 2013.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior economist and strategist at Credit Agricole CIB

This makes the third quarter the second straight quarter of accelerated growth momentum. In addition, the last month of the quarter brought an acceleration of industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment in year-on-year terms, highlighting the fact that the improvement of economic momentum was particularly strong in September. Clearly, concerns over continued slowdown can now be put to rest.

The data is mostly above consensus and confirms that growth is picking up and that China is not at risk of a hard landing."

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Tom Rafferty, London-based analyst for Economist Intelligence Unit

The 7.4 percent growth represents a deceleration from the second quarter, and it is also the worst year-on-year figure. But we see a positive sign for growth in the fourth quarter and the next year. There are other positive signs. The data show that investment and retail sales have picked up. On the whole, we have also seen an increase in per capita disposable income this year, with the increase in minimum wages. On the whole these are positive signs for mid-term economic growth. We do not see any major shift in policy in the fourth quarter.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

David Laurier, CEO of the Belgium-based environmental analysis provider AppliTek NV

The third quarter growth of 7.4 percent is still a very good number globally. For my company, the outlook for China is still very bright.

China has emerged a lot during the last 10 years. Maybe the expectations are just too high. A growth figure of 6 percent feels more natural to me. From my perspective, the economic recovery will start in (the first or second quarter) of 2013.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Chang Jian, economist at Barclays

The GDP growth in the third quarter and better-than-expected September data suggest that China's economic growth is stabilizing on the back of more accommodative monetary conditions, improving export orders, increasing infrastructure investment, and recovering property market activities.

The sustainability of the export growth remains key to the pace of the near-term recovery, and the Autumn Canton Fair may provide some clues.

Should the September momentum be sustained into the fourth quarter, there would be upside risk to our full-year forecast of 7.5 percent.

Overall, the September data painted a consistent picture of a pickup in domestic activities on the back of recovering domestic and external demand.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Ann Lee, a finance and economics professor at New York University, and author of What the US Can Learn from China

I would have expected GDP to come in at slightly higher than 7.5 percent because I think the monetary easing and stimulus earlier in the third quarter would have added to growth. Also, sectors other than manufacturing such as transportation and services are also growing. China's economy should stabilize or moderately slow down from here, given the uncertainty around the leadership transition.

Optimistic outlook for Q4 and beyond

Derek Scissors, senior research fellow at The Heritage Foundation

The year-on-year GDP figure was as expected. Investment excluding real estate was strong. Retail sales were a bit weaker. This is not encouraging for China's rebalancing.

The year-on-year figures say that GDP growth slowed a bit from the second quarter to the third quarter. However, a more accurate picture, including the quarter-on-quarter growth figures, indicates the opposite: GDP growth was weaker in the first half than the year-on-year figures indicate but a bit stronger in the third quarter.

 
8.03K
 
...
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产一区亚洲欧美成人 | 男女男精品视频在线播放 | 大毛片a大毛片 | 国产日产欧美精品一区二区三区 | 91精品国产乱码久久久久久 | 无码精品一区二区三区免费视频 | 久草视频免费在线 | 伊人久爱 | 日本欧美韩国一区二区三区 | 欧美大片在线观看成人 | 亚洲a级 | 日本无卡码一区二区三区 | 成人久久18免费游戏网站 | 久久综合久久久 | 欧美69视频 | 欧美成人久久 | 日本道久久| 久草资源在线视频 | 国产一区二区三区不卡免费观看 | 国产成人精品久久一区二区小说 | 亚洲成人午夜影院 | 日本欧美一区二区三区视频 | 亚洲天堂免费在线视频 | 91成人国产| 久久青青草视频 | 欧美在线一级毛片视频 | 国产国产成人人免费影院 | 亚洲视频免费在线看 | 欧美日本一区 | 美女黄色网页 | 91久久香蕉国产线看 | 亚洲欧美视频网站 | 九九视频在线观看视频6 | 成人精品在线观看 | 精品日本一区二区三区在线观看 | 欧美a在线播放 | 一区二区三区四区免费视频 | 欧美日韩国产片 | 日本乱理伦中文三区 | 久久这里只有精品视频99 | 欧美大胆a |