www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
China
Home / China / View

No Japan-style bubble in China's house market

By Zhong Yue | China Daily | Updated: 2016-10-17 08:18

In a bid to cool their red-hot property prices, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, and some major provincial capital cities across China successively introduced measures to limit home buying from the end of September and during the National Day holiday.

Those potential buyers unable to enter the housing market because of soaring prices, hope these regulatory means will reverse the trajectory of home prices to an affordable level. Some of those who have bought homes, however, worry the measures will shrink the value of their property.

Undoubtedly, the adoption of the restrictive home buying measures by 19 cities, most of them first-tier and second-tier cities, is a timely move to curb speculation and reduce rises. But many people are also concerned the "emergency brake" put on these fast-rising housing markets will possibly cause home prices to collapse as happened in Japan in the 1990s. However, such worries are unfounded. China is in a different stage from that of Japan when its property bubble burst. Compared with the interest rate adjustments Japan made to regulate its high realty prices, the restrictive measures formulated by China this time are targeted at restraining speculative demand in the cities where housing prices are believed to be rising as a result of the influx of migrants and speculative demand.

Chinese people are prone to buying real estates, especially when prices climb, and speculative buying prevails when prices are soaring. It is reported that among the couples in Shanghai who divorced during the past months when home prices in the city were rising swiftly, nearly 40 percent got a divorce for the purpose of bypassing the local policy that one family could only buy two homes at most.

By introducing the restrictive measures, the authorities are seeking to cool the overheated property market, not smash the current high home prices. So, most of these measures are mainly to curb speculative demand rather than the demand for a first home. Furthermore, any drastic drop in home prices resulting from these measures will likely cause the authorities to make timely policy adjustments. Thus the restrictive measures are temporary ones only and will not lead to a collapse in the housing market like the one in Japan in the 1990s.

However, many people are drawing comparisons to what Japan did before the collapse of its housing prices in the 1990s, and discussing whether the government will protect property prices or the exchange rate. Around 1990, Japan chose to boost the yen's appreciation through raising its interest rates to attract the flow of foreign funds to Japan. But there is no need to make such a comparison. Aside from its housing market being at a different development stage from that of Japan's at that time, China has also adopted a different monetary policy from its neighbor. China is still in a cycle of interest rate cuts and there is no possibility the government will raise rates. China's central bank has ruled out the possibility of the renminbi's considerable depreciation, although it is expected to continue on a steady downward trajectory to depreciate moderately against the US dollar. A moderate depreciation of the renminbi is conducive to its ongoing economic structural adjustments, given that a weak renminbi will facilitate the country's exports and thus leave more time for it to make the necessary adjustments.

Some foreign media and organizations have raised their forecasts for the growth of China's gross domestic product in 2016. Standard & Poor's for instance has raised its forecast from 6.4 percent to 6.6 percent. That means China's economic growth generally enjoys a relatively optimistic prospect this year, which will undercut the possibility of a drastic decline or collapse of its house prices.

The author is a FXTM analyst on Chinese market.

No Japan-style bubble in China's house market

Editor's picks
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产男女爽爽爽爽爽视频 | www.日本高清.com| 亚洲国产精品久久久久久 | 一级a俄罗斯毛片免费 | 国产不卡在线观看视频 | 成人黄色在线观看 | 亚洲天堂2018av | 美女午夜色视频在线观看 | 精品国产一区二区三区四区vr | cao在线观看 | 精品亚洲欧美高清不卡高清 | 日本在线观看一级高清片 | 成人免费久久精品国产片久久影院 | 国产不卡在线视频 | 中文字幕人成乱码在线观看 | 97在线播放 | 久久99国产精品久久 | 亚洲男人第一天堂 | 国产精品亚洲第一区柳州莫青 | 一级片日韩| 日本午色www高清视频 | 美女扒开腿让男人桶爽免费动态图 | 看真人一一级毛片 | 偷看各类wc女厕嘘在线观看 | 私人毛片免费高清影视院丶 | 欧美手机手机在线视频一区 | 欧美精品国产一区二区三区 | 在线 中文字幕 日韩 欧美 | 欧美手机在线视频 | 国产91无套剧情在线播放 | 国产精品二区三区 | 日本高清色www | 亚洲国产精品自在现线让你爽 | 欧美成人高清视频 | 国产又色又爽黄的网站免费 | 色天使色婷婷在线影院亚洲 | 午夜三级在线观看 | 欧美高清一区二区三区欧美 | 视频一区 欧美 | 欧美日韩精品一区二区免费看 | 国产成人一区二区三区在线视频 |