www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
China / China

Nation saw great steps in weather prediction

By ZHANG YANGFEI (CHINA DAILY) Updated: 2020-01-12 09:14

A mathematical breakthrough by a Chinese meteorologist six decades ago that dramatically improved the accuracy of weather forecasts has seen him honored with the country's top scientific award.

Chinese meteorology has advanced greatly over the past century, with the country now matching many developed countries in its use of high-end technologies to monitor atmospheric conditions and make accurate forecasts. But those achievements would not have been possible without basic theoretical research led by meteorologist Zeng Qingcun, an academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

His scientific breakthroughs are still widely used today in weather forecasting and the study of global climate change, meteorological hazards and disaster risk reduction.

It was because of these contributions that he received the State Preeminent Science and Technology Award, the highest scientific award in China.

Zeng, 85, was born in 1935 in Yangjiang, Guangdong province. Growing up in a peasant family in the countryside, he was involved in farm work when he was young and knew how changes in the weather could affect harvests.

In 1952, Zeng enrolled in Peking University to study physics and was assigned to the field of atmospheric physics.

In 1954, an overnight frost froze about 40 percent of the wheat in Henan province, dealing a severe blow to food production.

"If we could predict the weather in advance and take precautions, we would reduce great losses," Zeng said, adding that the event reinforced his understanding of the significance of weather prediction.

Weather forecasts in China in the 1950s were highly dependent on observations and personal experience.

"In the past, people drew a weather map and used their previous experiences to predict the weather, which is obviously too subjective," Zeng said.

"You need to use science. You have to understand why the weather changes this way and what rules the changes follow. According to the rules, you can write them into equations and solve them mathematically, this is called numerical weather forecasting."

Numerical weather prediction was pioneered in the 1920s by a British scientist. However, such models require vast data sets and very complex calculations and it was not until the 1950s, with the advent of computers, that the United States embarked on numerical weather prediction.

The equations used-known as primitive equations-are now the core of every general circulation model for atmospheric research, taking into account the fundamentals of atmospheric dynamics, including the Earth's rotation, fluid dynamics and thermodynamics.

The models can simulate real-world atmospheric activities such as the formation and evolution of tropical cyclones.

They are so complicated that the ability to solve them is one of the indicators used to determine the power of today's supercomputers.

Due to their complexity, scientists in the 1950s focused on simpler models that left the indicators out, but that limited the accuracy and timeliness of their forecasts.

In 1957, Zeng was sent to the Soviet Union to pursue his studies in numerical weather prediction.

His tutor assigned him a dissertation topic that had puzzled the world: how to use primitive equations to approximate atmospheric flows and predict short-range weather.

Zeng said many of his teachers and classmates urged the tutor not to give such a difficult project to a young man, saying it could affect his graduation prospects.

But Zeng's tutor trusted his mathematical capabilities and Zeng did not fail the tutor's expectations.

In 1961, Zeng's dissertation was published in Russian. In it, he described a mathematical integration method called "semi-implicit scheme" he designed to separately solve the primitive equations for atmospheric motions on different time scales.

The Moscow World Meteorological Center has applied the scheme in operational predictions since 1963, raising forecast accuracy by 61 percent.

"Zeng is the first in the world to solve the most complicated equations using a semi-implicit scheme, which opened a new chapter in the world's numerical weather predictions. It is a milestone contribution," said Wang Huijun, a CAS academician who works at Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology.

In 2016, the World Meteorological Organization awarded Zeng the IMO Prize, the most important award in meteorology.

Highlights
Hot Topics

...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日本一区二区三区精品视频 | 日韩精品亚洲人成在线观看 | 国产成人十八黄网片 | 亚洲一区二区三区首页 | 日韩在线欧美在线 | 三a毛片| 中文字幕一级毛片视频 | 亚洲影院国产 | 国产成人免费高清视频网址 | 精品国产视频在线观看 | 国产精品二区在线 | 欧美成人免费香蕉 | 国产亚洲福利一区二区免费看 | 亚洲视频一区二区在线观看 | 欧美日韩亚洲国内综合网俺 | 国产黄色激情视频 | 亚洲福利视频一区二区三区 | 成人国产片免费 | 在线视频久久 | 亚洲美色综合天天久久综合精品 | 国产真实乱子伦精品视手机观看 | 亚洲日本激情 | 亚洲精品国产成人7777 | 国模肉肉人体大尺度啪啪 | 国产欧美一区二区三区久久 | 色老久久精品偷偷鲁一区 | 暖暖视频日韩欧美在线观看 | 国产一级视频久久 | 亚洲国产日韩欧美一区二区三区 | 贵州美女一级纯黄大片 | 亚洲精品久久一区影院 | 国产视频www| 国产看色免费 | 日本vs欧美一区二区三区 | 大黄一级片 | a级片免费在线播放 | 日本加勒比在线播放 | 久艹在线观看 | 欧美毛片a级毛片免费观 | 特级aaa片毛片免费观看 | 国产美女无遮挡软件 |