www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

WORLD> America
When US economy bottoms out, how will we know?
(Agencies)
Updated: 2009-03-08 11:39

When will this wretched economy bottom out? The recession is already in its 15th month, making it longer than all but two downturns since World War II. For now, everything seems to be getting worse: The Dow is in free fall, jobs are vanishing every day, and one in eight American homeowners is in foreclosure or behind on payments.

But the economy always recovers. It runs in cycles, and economists are watching an array of statistics, some of them buried deep beneath the headlines, to spot the turning point. The Associated Press examined three markets -- housing, jobs and stocks -- and asked experts where things stand and how to know when they've hit bottom.

None of them expects it to come anytime soon.

Jobs

HOW BAD IS IT?: The US unemployment rate hit 8.1 percent in February, a 25-year peak. The nation has lost 4.4 million jobs since the recession began in late 2007.

In this Feb. 6, 2009 file photo, people wait to talk on an unemployment benefits hotline at an Employment Development Department office in San Jose, Calif. The darkest days for the job market are likely still to come, most analysts say. [Agencies]

The job cuts began early last year, as the housing and construction industries slowed down. The collapse of the financial industry in the fall battered white-collar workers. Soon, layoffs spread across industries and income levels.

HOW MUCH WORSE COULD IT GET? The darkest days for the job market are almost certainly still ahead. With spending weak and credit markets stalled, experts think the economy will probably shed a total of 2.4 million jobs this year. That would mean an unemployment rate above 9 percent.

That would easily surpass the 2001 and 1990-91 recessions but trail the 10.8 percent rate of December 1982. Those expectations could be optimistic: The government's "stress tests" to check the strength of banks' balance sheets assume a 10.3 percent rate.

The job market will probably be weak for years, even if the economy starts to turn around next year. The unemployment rate may not fall back to its pre-recession level of 5 percent until 2013, according to Moody's Economy.com.

WHERE'S THE BOTTOM?: Economist Sophia Koropeckyj, a managing director at Moody's Economy.com, is keeping an eye out for two signs, an inching up in companies hiring temporary workers and a rise in the number of hours worked by those who have managed to keep their part-time and full-time jobs.

When business conditions improve, employers hire temporary workers first, she said, and a pickup in permanent hiring wouldn't be far behind. Koropeckyj estimated that could come in mid-2010.

   Previous page 1 2 3 Next Page  

主站蜘蛛池模板: 中文字幕一区在线观看 | 国产在线一二三区 | 99视频在线观看视频 | 日本一级毛片高清免费观看视频 | 台湾精品视频在线播放 | 成人永久福利在线观看不卡 | 久久r这里只有精品 | 国产成人在线免费观看 | 中文字幕一区二区三区免费视频 | 国产伦精品一区二区三区四区 | 一级毛毛片毛片毛片毛片在线看 | 精品视频在线观看一区二区三区 | 人成18亚洲资源在线 | 国产精品久久久久一区二区三区 | 91在线精品亚洲一区二区 | 男女猛烈无遮掩免费视频 | 一级特黄aaa大片在线观看 | 中国成人在线视频 | 在线播放国产视频 | 香港激情三级做爰小说 | 午夜久久视频 | 欧美一级大片免费看 | 波多野结衣中文在线播放 | 亚洲欧美激情在线 | 天堂色视频| 欧美极品video粗暴 | 欧美福利一区二区三区 | 亚洲精品久久久久中文 | 成人午夜毛片在线看 | 久久免费小视频 | 久久国产精品免费观看 | a大片久久爱一级 | 国产精品久久久久毛片真精品 | 欧美成人性毛片免费版 | 亚洲欧美日韩国产综合高清 | 久久视频这里只有精品 | 国产精品自拍在线观看 | 日本一级大毛片a一 | 亚洲美女免费视频 | 男女免费视频网站 | 国产成人夜间影院在线观看 |