www射-国产免费一级-欧美福利-亚洲成人福利-成人一区在线观看-亚州成人

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Opinion / Featured Contributors

The demise of China's transition economy is greatly exaggerated

By Yeomin Yoon (chinadaily.com.cn) Updated: 2016-02-23 17:32

The demise of China's transition economy is greatly exaggerated

Rail tracks are laid on a route in Nantong, Jiangsu province. [Photo provided to chinadaily.com.cn]

Editor's note: Observing the recent turmoil in the currency market involving the renminbi and the current volatility in China's stock markets, many Western economists or scholars seem to have joined the chorus predicting a "China breakdown", "the end of the Chinese model", or even "the collapse of China". Thus I sent an email to professor Yeomin Yoon of finance and international business at Seton Hall University, New Jersey to ask him to comment. The following are excerpts of his answer.

When some American newspapers reported on his death, Mark Twain, one of the smartest men America ever produced, quipped: "The reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated." I regard such views on China as you cited above in a similar vein: "The reports of the demise of China's economy is greatly exaggerated."

China's economy, after achieving miraculously high growth rates for more than three decades, is undergoing significant transition. China is attempting a shift away from an export-driven and investment-led economy to a more balanced, consumption-based and service sector-oriented one.

In order to achieve these goals and a Xiaokang ("moderately affluent") society by 2020, policymakers have set out an extensive reform agenda. This includes establishment of proper financial infrastructure, state-owned enterprise, fiscal and rural land reform.

In an economy as big as China's -- remember that China's economic size, if measured in terms of purchasing power parity, exceeded that of the US in 2014 – such widespread and ambitious transition naturally brings significant uncertainties and cannot be expected to be as smooth as Chinese silk. One should naturally expect lots of hiccups. Please understand that financial markets (including stock markets and currency markets) are volatility machines.

After rising 50% for the past decade in trade-weighted terms, the renminbi recently depreciated by less than 6% in terms of the US dollar. Why has this depreciation become such a big deal that it has created a commotion among China observers in the Western countries? I would also like to state flatly that not what happens in China's stock markets but the progress on economic reform will determine the fate of China's economy.

Moreover, I hope firstly that policymakers communicate to the Chinese people (as well as markets) and make them understand that their economic policymaking is strictly based on the traditional Chinese philosophy that the economy exists for the human person, not vice versa.

It should be also noted that President Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign is consistent with such a philosophy. If the people better understand government policy in terms of its intention and direction, they would be more willing to endure any temporary hardship.

Second, on specific policy level, I would suggest the following two actions:

(a)China should reduce the debt to GDP ratio (or credit to deposit ratio), because history shows that too much debt was a primary source of financial crises. Let me hasten to add that such a reduction of debt should be gradual over time, not abrupt.

(b)Watchdogs should strengthen capital controls temporarily to prevent speculators from causing massive swings in exchange rates. Let me remind you that under the Bretton Woods system which used capital controls, banking, financial and sovereign debt crises were far less frequent.

The opinions expressed here are those of the writer and don't represent views of China Daily website.

Most Viewed Today's Top News
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 97青娱国产盛宴精品视频 | 蕾丝视频永久在线入口香蕉 | 一级特级毛片 | 成人国产欧美精品一区二区 | a级毛片网站 | 亚洲综合爱久久影院 | 亚洲欧美日韩高清在线看 | 亚洲男人天堂2018 | 欧美另类在线观看 | 欧美激情免费a视频 | 国产特黄特色的大片观看免费视频 | 99精品在线免费观看 | 欧美性猛交xxxx免费看手交 | 欧美亚洲另类视频 | 国产一区二区在线观看免费 | 免费一级特黄欧美大片久久网 | 久草中文视频 | 欧美片欧美日韩国产综合片 | 亚洲成a人v在线观看 | 精品 日韩 国产 欧美在线观看 | 精品自拍视频 | 私人毛片免费高清影视院丶 | 九一国产精品视频 | 国产成人精品免费视频大全软件 | 毛片免费在线播放 | 欧美成人久久久 | 中文字幕国产亚洲 | 中文字幕一级毛片视频 | 久久精品一区二区三区不卡牛牛 | 美国毛片免费一级 | 日本视频一区二区三区 | 黄频免费影院 | 色秀视频在线观看88品善网 | 日本一级毛片中文字幕 | 欧美视频一区二区在线观看 | 亚洲人成网国产最新在线 | 一级做a级爰片性色毛片视频 | 欧美在线视频精品 | 99久久精品免费观看区一 | 91精品免费高清在线 | 成人毛片一区二区三区 |